During the extended meeting held by H.E. Dr. Rania Al-Mashat, Minister of Planning, Economic Development, and International Cooperation, with the Planning and Budget Committee of the House of Representatives
29 December 2024
H.E. Dr. Rania Al-Mashat: The government’s reform policies have reflected positively on the recovery of key growth indicators in the first quarter of the current fiscal year
Growth in the first quarter was driven by improvements in manufacturing activities and the government’s commitment to measures that enhance macroeconomic stability and encourage private sector investments
Commitment to the economic and structural reform program has contributed to the positive shift in the international institutions' outlook on Egypt's economy
H.E. Dr.
Rania Al-Mashat, Minister of Planning, Economic Development, and International
Cooperation, delivered an in-depth presentation on the latest developments in
the global economy, their local repercussions, and the encouraging signs of
improvement in Egypt’s economic indicators. This took place during her
discussion on the actual implementation of the economic and social development
plan for the fiscal year 2023/2024 with the Planning and Budget Committee of
the House of Representatives, chaired by Dr. Fakhry El-Feki. The meeting was
attended by several senior members of the committee, experts, and stakeholders,
who engaged in a thorough dialogue on the ongoing challenges and prospects for
Egypt’s economic development.
During
the session, H.E. Dr. Rania Al-Mashat highlighted the Ministry’s commitment to
maintaining ongoing cooperation and full coordination with the House of
Representatives and all relevant parliamentary committees. The focus remains on
ensuring the alignment of the country’s development strategies with its
legislative framework and the priorities set by the state. This participatory
approach is central to the government’s efforts in formulating development
plans that address the economic, social, and environmental needs of the
country. The Ministry aims to foster a competitive, private-sector-led economy,
with an emphasis on creating sustainable jobs, boosting economic resilience,
and achieving balanced regional development across Egypt.
H.E. Dr.
Al-Mashat underscored that the government’s approach in planning and
implementing its economic policies is grounded in a holistic view of
development, which seeks not only to address immediate challenges but also to
lay the foundations for long-term growth. This approach is centered on the
implementation of policies that facilitate sustainable economic growth, ensure
macroeconomic stability, and enhance Egypt’s competitiveness in the global
market. The development plans are designed to meet the overarching national
goal of building an inclusive, knowledge-based economy that capitalizes on
Egypt’s strategic location and diverse resources.
Regarding
the key developments in the global economy and their local impact, H.E. Dr.
Al-Mashat provided a detailed overview of the current economic landscape. She
noted that the global economy has faced a series of disruptive challenges in
recent years, which have contributed to an atmosphere of heightened
uncertainty. These challenges, including trade disruptions, geopolitical
tensions, and the ongoing impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, have strained global
growth prospects and raised concerns about future economic stability.
H.E. Dr.
Al-Mashat pointed out that Egypt, like many other nations, has been affected by
these global disruptions. The economic fallout from these challenges has slowed
global growth rates, which in turn had an impact on Egypt’s economic
performance in the past fiscal year. The restrictions on trade, investment, and
technological cooperation, along with labor mobility restrictions, have all
contributed to a slowdown in global economic activity.
However,
despite these setbacks, H.E. Dr. Al-Mashat highlighted the positive momentum
that has been building in Egypt’s economy over the past few months. The early
signs of recovery in key economic indicators, particularly in the manufacturing
sector, have been encouraging. She noted that these positive developments are
largely due to the government’s implementation of bold and comprehensive
economic reforms aimed at stabilizing the macroeconomic environment, enhancing
governance, and stimulating the private sector.
The
government’s commitment to reform has been a key factor in the recovery
process. H.E. Dr. Al-Mashat pointed out that the government’s efforts to ensure
macroeconomic stability have been complemented by policies aimed at fostering
investment, improving the business climate, and supporting the growth of
strategic sectors such as manufacturing, agriculture, and renewable energy. As
a result, Egypt has seen a resurgence in manufacturing activity, which has been
a major driver of growth in the first quarter of the current fiscal year.
The
minister expressed confidence that the positive growth trend would continue in
the coming quarters, supported by the government's continued efforts to
implement policies that promote private sector growth and macroeconomic
stability. She stressed that the government’s focus would remain on ensuring
that the economy remains resilient in the face of both internal and external
challenges. This includes measures to encourage foreign direct investment,
enhance infrastructure, and improve the regulatory environment, all of which
are crucial to maintaining the growth momentum.
H.E. Dr.
Al-Mashat also shared the optimistic view that Egypt’s economy is
well-positioned to weather future challenges. The country’s economic
diversification and the continued development of key sectors such as
manufacturing, energy, and technology have reinforced its resilience in the
face of global volatility. She highlighted that the international community has
recognized these efforts, with international credit rating agencies such as
Fitch and Standard & Poor’s acknowledging the progress Egypt has made in
stabilizing its economy.
On
November 1, 2024, Fitch Ratings upgraded Egypt’s credit rating from B- with a
positive outlook to B with a stable outlook, while Standard & Poor’s
maintained Egypt’s rating at B-/B with a positive outlook. These upgrades are a
direct result of the country’s successful reform efforts, particularly in areas
such as exchange rate flexibility, monetary policy, and foreign exchange
reserves.
H.E. Dr.
Al-Mashat also referred to the ongoing decline in inflation rates as a positive
indicator of the success of the government’s policies. Inflation, which had
been a significant concern in recent years, has been steadily decreasing. The
core inflation rate has shown a notable decline in the past few months, with a
consistent downward trend through November 2024. This is in line with the
reduction in monthly inflation rates for key goods, particularly in the second
half of 2024, compared to the first quarter.
Projections
for the future also suggest a further decline in inflation, with expectations
that inflation rates will decrease significantly by February 2025. This
reduction is anticipated to be driven by base-year effects, as well as a global
downturn in commodity prices. These factors, combined with the government’s
continued efforts to control prices and stabilize the market, are expected to
contribute to a more favorable economic environment for businesses and
consumers alike.
H.E. Dr.
Al-Mashat emphasized that, despite the global uncertainties, Egypt’s economy
has demonstrated remarkable resilience. The government remains committed to
implementing the necessary reforms and policies that will support continued
growth and stability. Efforts to boost foreign direct investment, improve the
business climate, and support key economic sectors will remain a priority. The
government’s proactive approach to addressing inflation, stabilizing the
currency, and controlling prices is expected to yield continued positive
results in the coming months.
H.E. Dr.
Al-Mashat concluded by reiterating the Ministry’s commitment to working closely
with all stakeholders, including the House of Representatives and other
relevant bodies, to ensure the successful implementation of Egypt’s economic
and social development plans. The Ministry remains dedicated to ensuring that
Egypt’s economic recovery continues on track and that the country remains on a
path toward sustainable, inclusive growth in the coming years.